QUESTION: How in the world did Socrates distinguish that Texas would flip Blue however not Florida? Your laptop was the one one to forecast that outcome.
GK
ANSWER: Look, 99% of the individuals who put out their forecasts are simply an opinion. Far too usually they may by no means forecast one thing they’d by no means contemplate. Like CNN, they’re claiming that is an extinction stage occasion when Obama misplaced extra seats within the Senate throughout his midterm election. You can’t forecast if you find yourself biased as a result of y0u need a explicit end result.
Socrates appears at this dispassionately. Nigel Farage got here and spoke at our 2019 WEC in Rome and apart from calling our WECs the Different to DAVOS, Nigel additionally confirmed that we had been the one one to forecast that BREXIT would win.
The pc additionally forecast that Trump would win in 2016 to the shock of the whole world. Nigel stated on stage he bought the best kick trying on the faces of CNN that election evening. Three out of 4 fashions venture that Trump would win in 2016. I requested three ladies within the 20s who had been working for us who all stated they votes towards Hillary. I requested why? The response was the identical. She needed to draft girls. They referred to as her a “Feminine Nazi.” You had the older era like Madalen Albright saying any girl who didn’t vote for Hillary was a traitor. Insurance policies didn’t matter solely gender. Once I requested some younger individuals who had voted for Trump earlier than however voted for Democrats stated they didn’t vote for the insurance policies of Democrats, they voted towards the insurance policies of Trump. The pc does NOT present a 2028 victory for the Democrats.
Here’s a chart we revealed again then projecting that it could be a 52 years excessive (51.6 years). These forecasts are NOT my private opinion. No person could make such forecasts and be that constant. In 1993, I stood up in Tokyo and made a forecast that some within the Japanese authorities didn’t like, I stated the pc projected that the LDP would los energy, the primary time since WWII. Everybody was completely shocked. The LDP’s first main electoral defeat occurred in 1993, and its first lack of authorities energy additionally occurred then. The LDP was created on November 15, 1955, via the merger of two conservative events. This was the primary loss in a 38 12 months run.
What appears to have drawn lots of consideration is that the pc forecast Texas would return to BLUE however Florida would stay RED. The pc is NOT biased and it has no opinion.
Governors of Texas Since 1900
There’s a main distinction within the historical past of Texas vs Florida. The final 5 governors had been Republican in comparison with solely 3 in Texas. Till these final three governors, each governor earlier than was Democrat whereas Florida has two Republican governors in 1967 and 1987.
The Variety of Slaves Per State 1860
Virginia 490,865
Georgia 462,198
Mississippi 436,631
Alabama 435,080
South Carolina 402,406
Louisiana 331,726
North Carolina 331,059
Tennessee 275,719
Kentucky 225,483
Texas 182,566
Missouri 114,931
Arkansas 111,115
Maryland 87,189
Florida 61,745
Florida was by no means s main slave state. What few slaves there have been, had been confined up north extra within the farming space. Therefore, Florida was the vacation spot for the wealthy and well-known for the reason that Nineteen Twenties. As a child, I bear in mind my household driving to Miami and we loved the local weather within the winter. This was a distinct combine from Texas. Take into account that the Democrats had been the slave homeowners.
Once I say we’ve got the most important database ever assembled, I’m not exaggerating. We have now have the public sale value of slaves from the totally different markets which can be a mirrored image of labor prices and the rise and fall of employment. You see a pointy peak simply earlier than the Sovereign debt disaster of the 1840s when states went belly-up.
The pc is monitoring every little thing. I strongly advise that no one higher attempt to invade the South. We have now a bunch of Pink Necks who’ve been ready to such a day. They may wipe out any such invasion earlier than the navy ever bought right here and all they’re going to discover is a bunch of empty shell casings.
