QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, first I have to thanks for coming to Paris. In contrast to in the US, you have been on French nationwide TV. You really made an impression right here.
My query is that this: you stated that the EU consumes greater than 50% to feed the paperwork. The view right here is that our financial system is doing extraordinarily badly, as you warned would occur at your discuss right here. Individuals must know that this concept of socialism is what’s collapsing. It doesn’t matter what occurs, the federal government is totally run by a gaggle of incompetents who juggle billions whereas households battle simply to place meals on the desk. Macron, as you stated, blamed Trump for the rise in power, however he omits his assist for Ukraine and the sanctions on Russia that began the rise in gasoline prices.
Are we headed to a brand new Sixth Republic? Would you advise establishing a brand new authorities?
Andre
ANSWER: In 2025, France’s complete public expenditure reached €1.7141 trillion, with public spending equal to 57.3% of GDP—the best share within the European Union. That is the core drawback: the federal government consumes 57.3% of the financial system, leaving minimal dwelling requirements for the individuals. The protests started with a serious motion often known as “Block All the pieces” (Bloquons tout), which held its first main day of motion on September 10, 2025 (2025.693). Cyclically, this might attain a serious crest as late as August 12, 2027.
Nonetheless, the protests in France grew to become large-scale and nationwide beginning on October 17, 2026 (2026.794). What started as a pupil motion over faculty circumstances escalated right into a broad nationwide upheaval involving tons of of hundreds of individuals and important violence. Within the brief time period, this might proceed into December 16, 2026.
This coming week may even see renewed battle. Macron’s mistake is what all authorities do when they’re threatened with collapse – they lash out on the the individuals and attempt to suppress them, however this doesn’t remedy the issue – it solely postpones it. We’re headed right into a world recession into 2028 and it will amplify the unrest. The danger that the French authorities will fall turns up in 2028/2029.
The financial system will not be working. GDP is falling and Europe is determined for struggle. You’re listening to all the federal government telling individuals to fill up for what’s their supposed struggle. They’ll create some kind of false flag to assert they’ve been attacked by Russia.
Right here is Former Defence Choose Committee Chair, Tobias Ellwood, speaking about how this authorities will not be doing sufficient investing in navy within the UK. Clearly struggle is within the air in Europe. Escalation is someway “assured” regardless of Putin having stated repeatedly that he’s NOT fascinated about a larger struggle with Europe.
The concept a threatened ruler begins a struggle to carry onto energy is an outdated statement in political thought. The idea is a recurring theme in historical past and political science, articulated by numerous thinkers and observers.
A quote attributed to Plato captures the essence:
“When the tyrant has disposed of overseas enemies by conquest or treaty, and there may be nothing to concern from them, then he’s all the time stirring up some struggle or different, so that the individuals might require a frontrunner.”
Henry Kittredge Norton (1928) in his e-book Again of Battle, he described it as an “outdated trick” the place a governing energy, “threatened by rising discontent and opposition throughout the borders of its personal nation, precipitates a overseas struggle to reunite the nation and vindicate its personal authority.”
Political scientists have documented this dynamic in lots of particular circumstances. I’m NOT pulling this out of skinny air. Even not too long ago, Saddam invaded Iran in 1980 partly as a “pre-emptive strike to shore up his private rule” towards inner threats. He additionally reportedly informed interrogators {that a} principal motive for invading Kuwait was his perception that he wanted to maintain his restive military occupied.
Your entire reasoning behind the 2nd Modification within the US Structure was to thwart this drawback of governments utilizing navy energy as a result of it’s simply there. The Value of Savoy was probably the most excellent generals who influenced Montesquieu who in tuen influenced the Founding Fathers {that a} standing military is harmful for the state will all the time use it as a result of it’s there. No struggle has been licensed by a Declaration issued by Congress since WWII. This proves the very level that Savoy made that kings created struggle as a result of they’d a military that wanted to do one thing.
Idi Amin (Uganda) again within the 1978 struggle with Tanzania is cited for instance the place Amin’s main aim was to take care of a risk from his personal navy forces, not a overseas adversary.
Hérault de Séchelles (1791) throughout the French Revolution, summarized the logic succinctly:
“Battle will justify all of your steps; for, in short, it’s at dwelling that struggle should be made on rebels earlier than it may be carried overseas.”
Once I say the EU is determined and Russia is the perfect enemy cash can purchase, they face the identical alternative. The EU will crumble and break aside, or they create struggle with Russia to retain energy. This can be a well-established precept in political idea and a recurring sample in historic evaluation.
