COMMENT: Marty, Thanks for the WEC. I agree with many, it was your finest ever. I’ve re-watched it twice and decide up new issues each time. The distinction of arrays on Europe vs USA confirms sadly that Socrates shall be appropriate and your effort to stop WWIII will fail. Nevertheless it does seem that you could be achieve protecting the US out of conflict right here in Europe. I’m taking my household out of right here. They’re introducing a conscription bill right here in Germany. Thanks for that. You possibly can scent conflict is within the air. The press is not going to inform the reality and there may be nothing Putin can do or say that they don’t criticize and subconsciously are telling Europeans Russia is weak and may be simply defeated.
Our European powers have once more rallied behind Ukraine on Monday after President Trump blasted Zelensky a day prior, accusing him of not bothering to learn the U.S.-proposed peace plan to finish the Russia-Ukraine conflict. British Prime Minister Keir Starmer mentioned: “We stand with Ukraine.” German Chancellor Merz and French President Macron concurred.
Right here in Germany, DER SPIEGEL, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and French President Emmanuel Macron in a secret name mentioned that the U.S. may betray Ukraine and Europe. I feel that is in step with your peace plan they usually reject. They didn’t need to hear Trump say that Europe is erasing its tradition with migration and has develop into irrelevant.
No person appears to ask what number of Europeans are they keen to sacrifice this time for conflict? I might have thought Europe would have realized. That clip you had of Merkel and Hollande saying the aim of making the EU was to get rid of conflict appears to solely confer with internally. So now they need all of Europe to invade Russia. It by no means ends. I actually don’t perceive why humanity at all times loves conflict.
PVB
REPLY: We’re about to enter the third Wave 2026.03137 (January 11-12, 2026). It’s extremely questionable if the EU will survive past 2030.330137. Europe won’t ever settle for peace as a result of these leaders are broke and they’re robbing Russians in entrance of all the world.
As much as 80% of the “Russian Belongings” which have been seized, belong to Russian people – not the state. On the private-side: reporting in 2023 estimated that personal Russian property topic to freeze within the EU (yachts, villas, personal accounts, company holdings, and many others.) amounted to about US $58 billion. However the international reserves that have been seized should not purely state property. The central financial institution was holding international accounts of all numerous Russian corporations and people doing enterprise with the West. It is a violation of Worldwide Regulation and the EU doesn’t give a shit as a result of the European Press is so anti-Russia that they are going to by no means report the reality.
As of early 2025, Swiss authorities reported that round 7.4 billion Swiss francs (≈ US $8.4 billion) in Russian-owned property had been frozen. That features property linked to people / corporations topic to sanctions (actual property, luxurious items, and many others.) in addition to holdings tied to the Russian Central Financial institution. Underneath Swiss regulation, outright confiscation of legally acquired personal property of Russians — just because they’re Russian — was deemed unconstitutional (as of 2023) by the Swiss Federal Council (not a “courtroom”) on February fifteenth, 2023 accepted the conclusion of a working group from the Federal Workplace of Justice (FOJ) that confiscation of frozen personal Russian property could be unconstitutional underneath Swiss regulation and violate the authorized order.
The lies that the EU are utilizing is let’s imagine you’ve cash on deposite in a financial institution, that financial institution then locations reserves on the central financial institution, the EU seizes all of the property of the Russian central financial institution and fake they’re the property of the state. They’re clearly displaying that the EU can’t be trusted and any non-European consumer with funds within the EU shoi;d get the funds out of there earlier than you’ll by no means see them once more. One outstanding case concerned Mikhail Fridman, a Russian oligarch. In April 2024, a courtroom inside the EU system (the Common Courtroom of the European Union) dominated there was inadequate proof to maintain him on the sanctions checklist. That successfully challenged the freeze on his property underneath EU sanctions — at the very least insofar because the justification for itemizing him was involved. Following that, Fridman initiated additional authorized motion: he sued a nationwide authorities (of Luxembourg) over damages arising from his asset freeze, and has additionally launched arbitration underneath worldwide investment-treaty guidelines.
The EU has violated worldwide regulation and has ignored the truth that the Ukrainian Civil Struggle was instigated by Ukrainians in Kiev and categorized everybody within the Donbas as a Terrorist. Putin even requested that they rescind that terrorist classification to justify attacking the ethic Russians in Crimea and the Donbas.
Solely after the Ukrainians have been overtly killing Russians on the streets of Odessa and burned them alive did the Donbas declare its independence for which Kiev then declared them to be terrorists. The West needed this conflict with Russia and the press refuses to report the reality cheering on World Struggle III with each story they write. Our pc warns this would be the finish of European civilization.
Billions are vanishing and these politicians communicate nothing concerning the corruption in Ukraine which makes one surprise what they’re making on the sidelines? Public reporting on precisely which European corporations have lively contracts to provide weapons to Ukraine is usually partial, aggregated, or confidential to guard politicians. Many supply-contracts are mediated by way of governments, export licences, or procurement coalitions. The truth that these politicians NEVER criticize Zelensky for the corruption is telling implying they’ve their hand on this cookie jar.
Even when corporations are identified, shareholding information of particular person EU politicians (members of parliaments, governments, and many others.) is usually very opaque, hardly ever if ever disclosed in a means that connects them to defense-industry shareholdings — that means publicly documented circumstances are very restricted. That mentioned, some European corporations identified to provide Ukraine (or facilitate provides), there may be little or no verifiable public proof that EU-politicians are important shareholders in them.
Czechoslovak Group (CSG) protection conglomerate has explicitly provided Ukraine. Based on publicly obtainable information, in 2022 roughly 41% of its income got here from deliveries to Ukraine; in 2023 it was round 23%. Its exports embody 155 mm and 152 mm artillery rounds, T-72 “Avenger” tanks, BMP-1/2 infantry combating automobiles, multiple-launch rocket techniques (e.g. RM-70 Vampire, BM-21 MT STRIGA), self-propelled howitzers (DANA M2, DITA), amongst others.
Then there may be Rheinmetall (Germany). Once more, I discovered no public breakdown displaying “Rheinmetall → Ukraine” underneath a named contract. But, Rheinmetall is extensively considered one of many main European protection producers benefiting from the surge in European army spending tied to the conflict. Its enterprise increase is strongly correlated with elevated demand for ammunition, armored automobiles, and different army tools in response to the conflict.
Smaller or mid-sized European companies are additionally on the take. The variety of smaller or midsize European ammunition / defense-component companies are in provide chains that now assist Ukraine or NATO rearmament. As an example, a 2025 tutorial research on European ammunition & grenade manufacturing outlines structural shifts in supply-chains, partly pushed by demand associated to Ukraine as reported within the Scandinavian Journal of Army Research.
As well as, institutional selections inside the European Union have strengthened these flows of cash for arming Ukraine. As of early 2025, Protection Information evaluation estimates that about 60% of whole support is used within the U.S., about 25% is spent in Ukraine, and the remaining ≈15% elsewhere. In November 2025, EU lawmakers voted to deepen integration between the EU protection {industry} and Ukraine — underneath a programme allocating €1.5 billion, together with €300 million for a “Ukraine Help Instrument.” That means EU-based protection contractors (like CSG, Rheinmetall, and others) are probably beneficiaries with out and disclosure if any politicians are personally benefiting like Pelosi in america.
Regardless of substantial arms enterprise, I discovered just about no credible, publicly verifiable circumstances the place an EU politician is documented as a shareholder — or main shareholder — in an organization supplying Ukraine. That is merely being coated up. Shareholding disclosures for a lot of European politicians don’t at all times require them to declare holdings in privately held or private corporations (particularly protection companies). They made certain the legal guidelines they write at all times exonerate themselves.
Even when holdings are declared, they hardly ever specify the size, affiliated subsidiaries, or whether or not the corporate has protection contracts — so linking a politician to “arms provide to Ukraine” turns into almost inconceivable. I’ve discovered NOBODY within the press who has even bothered to produce any well-documented examples of a sitting EU politician with materials shareholding in a agency identified to provide Ukraine. WHY? Curiously, a 2025 Scandinavian Journal of Army Research on ammunition supply-chains mentions “corporations and inter-institutional relationships,” however doesn’t doc any politician possession.
Many protection companies are privately held or structured by way of holding corporations / trusts, which makes public shareholding disclosures more durable to hint. There aren’t any political transparency guidelines value something they usually differ considerably throughout EU member states. Some require solely restricted disclosure; in others politicians could maintain stakes not directly (by way of holdings, blind trusts, household companies, pension funds), complicating public traceability.
What we do know is definite, is that contract arms pipelines usually contain governments, intermediaries, export licences, not direct industrial gross sales — that means “firm X provides Ukraine” could not seem in public procurement lists even when tools finally ends up on the battlefield.
The mix of opacity (in shareholding) and oblique contract pipelines signifies that even well-informed public investigations could miss such connections as a result of that is saved very backstage. When these politicians always advocate conflict, if they’re making a fortune on supplying Ukraine and sending individuals to their deaths, it appears no one is keen to even open the door and ask a query when European Struggle is now turning into inevitable.
America grew to become the monetary capital of the world after Britain entered World Struggle I with no direct risk towards the British individuals. Britain’s official declaration of conflict on August 4th, 1914, was primarily in response to Germany’s violation of Belgian neutrality. Nevertheless, the explanations have been extra deeply rooted. Britain was not threatened. It claimed that the Belgian Neutrality Treaty (1839) was violated as a result of Germany’s Schlieffen Plan required invading France by means of impartial Belgium. Britain was a guarantor (together with different powers) of Belgian neutrality underneath the 1839 Treaty of London. Ignoring this violation, Britain claimed it might name into query their credibility as a treaty guarantor and nice energy. That call ended London because the monetary capital of the world and it moved to New York.
I’ve been combating laborious backstage to maintain the US out of this subsequent European Struggle to beat Russia. They are going to lose. They’re taking part in Russian Roulette with Nuclear Weapons. NATO claims Russia won’t ever push the button as a result of they know what that may imply. However because the EU is NOT making an attempt to drive Russia out of Ukraine, that is concerning the conquest of Russia. If I used to be Putin and I do know the target is to completely destroy Russia, I might push the button.
Admiral Giuseppe Cavo Dragone, chair of NATO’s Army Committee, has lately recommended {that a} “pre-emptive strike” towards Russia may, underneath sure circumstances, be justified as a type of defensive motion. He argued that NATO must shift from being purely reactive (responding after assaults) to presumably “being extra aggressive or proactive as a substitute of reactive.” He acknowledged that contemplating “pre-emptive strikes” would depart from NATO’s conventional posture — however that underneath the strain of ongoing “hybrid warfare” (cyber-attacks, sabotage, airspace violations, and many others.), such choices are being studied. He particularly mentioned that in sure contexts a pre-emptive strike “may very well be thought-about a defensive motion.”
That is what I’ve warned about. There are NO RATIONAL individuals in NATO. What he’s justifying is I stroll right into a bar and punch you within the face calling it self-defense as a result of if KNOW you actually needed to hit me first. If we strip away the Ukrainian BS and propaganda, dependable sources in Ukraine verify that Russia has used hypersonic missiles and Ukraine declare that they’ve been capable of intercept them 25% of the time is nonsense. They need to launch all 32 missiles of a Patriot Missile System to actually have a potential probability at interception. As with all the things Ukraine places out, there may be hardly something that may be verifiable. They’re extra involved about pretending that they’re profitable to maintain the cash flowing in for his or her Lamborghinis and Ferraris in Monaco. Europe shouldn’t be going to carry up very properly in a battle with Russia – it’s suicide.
I can’t take credit score for turning Trump. Maybe I’ve contributed, however I’ve no affirmation. His new technique warns Europe faces “the true and extra stark prospect of civilizational erasure.” It additionally asserts that if present-day traits proceed with immigration, demographic shifts, low beginning charges, cultural/political modifications, and suppression of free speech or democratic norms, “the continent shall be unrecognizable in 20 years or much less.” Sure, that is what our mannequin is forecasting. The EU could not exist submit 2030. Trump’s technique additionally says some NATO members “will develop into majority non-European,” and that raises “open questions” about whether or not they are going to see their alliance with the U.S. the identical means as unique members. We’re finishing the third wave by September 2nd, 2026. Right here too, NATO and the Neocon started to implement this conflict with Russia in 2021 which was 72 years from its founding in 1949. NATO is in its loss of life throes between 2026 and 2030.
Humanity’s gravitation towards conflict is a deeply complicated phenomenon with roots in a number of overlapping domains—psychological, social, financial, political, and evolutionary. Relatively than a single trigger, it’s higher understood as a tragic interaction of many components. People who find themselves drawn to positions of energy involving battle are deeply entrenched in tribalism. People developed in teams that competed for assets. This fostered sturdy in-group/out-group dynamics, the place loyalty to at least one’s group and suspicion or hostility towards outsiders may improve survival. Struggle emerges from such individuals due to their flawed character. It’s amplified group id—nationalism, ethnicity, faith, or ideology.
The Neocons advised President Reagan he shouldn’t meet with Gorbachev although they may not name him a communist, in order that they reverted to tribalism telling Reagan “you possibly can by no means belief a Russian.” There isn’t a dialogue with these individuals. I’ve tried they usually have solely confirmed that I used to be an idealistic idiot who although I may make then search the sunshine as a substitute the darkness they carry with them. They at all times reject peace and reside consumed by their hatred.
States and rulers have usually used conflict to consolidate energy, divert consideration from home issues, or obtain geopolitical objectives. The realist is pressured to argue that in a world (it doesn’t matter what its type Republic, Democracy, Dictatorship, or Monarchy), the thirst for energy is similar simply as justice is similar whatever the type of authorities. Corruption, authoritarianism, lack of democratic checks, and poor governance could make conflict extra probably. Leaders will far too usually prioritize private or regime survival over peace as we’re witnessing in Europe rigt now. Traditionally, empires expanded by means of warfare, pushed by financial exploitation and ideological beliefs in supremacy. The legacy of arbitrary borders and exploited grievances continues to gas conflicts. Proper now, European leaders are being pushed by financial necessity to retain energy, however concurrently, they’re blinded by ideological beliefs in supremacy that they’ll displace america and rise from the ashes this time from conflict.
