Russia’s battlefield beneficial properties in Ukraine have fallen to virtually nothing this 12 months, in accordance with the newest figures from unbiased observers and Kyiv’s navy.
Territory seized by Russian forces within the first 10 months of 2026 quantities to 117.38 sq km (45.32 sq miles), in accordance with the Institute for the Examine of Battle (ISW), a Washington-based assume tank that makes use of open-source geolocated footage.
Beneficial Tales
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By comparability, beneficial properties in 2025 had been 5,304 sq km (2,047.95 sq miles), together with 473 sq km (182.63 sq miles) of Russian territory recaptured within the Kursk area, whereas in 2024 they had been 3,604 sq km (1,391.31 sq miles).
Meaning Russia superior at a price of 0.38 sq km (0.15 sq miles) a day this 12 months, in contrast with 13.25 sq km (5.12 sq miles) a day in 2025 and 9.9 sq km (3.82 sq miles) a day in 2024.
As well as, Russia is struggling larger casualties this 12 months.
Ukraine’s Common Workers put the estimated variety of Russian personnel killed or critically wounded from January 1 to October 31 at 381,300.
Al Jazeera can not independently confirm casualty claims by both aspect.
Estimated Russian losses have repeatedly damaged new month-to-month data for all the conflict because the summer time – 42,860 in July, 46,230 in September and 54,400 in October – as Ukraine’s navy sought to succeed in a month-to-month goal of fifty,000 casualties set by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January.
The losses are far past Russia’s estimated recruitment capability of 24,000-30,000 a month.
Whereas Russia misplaced agency management of Ukrainian territory in April and Could, it elevated its areas of infiltration, the place management is contested.
In September and October, nevertheless, Russia misplaced each firmly managed and infiltrated territory, ISW assessments present.
Zelenskyy and his prime minister have cited these worsening developments because the the reason why Russia is intensifying long-range strikes focusing on power infrastructure. Civilians have been killed in these assaults, main Ukrainians to imagine that Moscow is choosing psychological warfare.
Russia unleashed an unusually heavy barrage in the course of the week ending on November 6, together with 2,346 drones and greater than 80 missiles throughout Ukraine.
The strikes reached a crescendo on November 3, with 370 drones and 76 missiles.
A whole lot of 1000’s of households are fighting blackouts at first of winter.
In one in every of Russia’s deadliest assaults this 12 months, within the village of Komyshuvakha within the Zaporizhzhia area, at least 50 people were killed.
“The invaders knew that on Mondays, humanitarian support was distributed on the Komyshuvakha resilience centre. Residents of the group come right here for meals, medication, important objects,” Ukraine’s navy intelligence service (GUR) mentioned.
The assault got here on the day a six-day ceasefire led to Oleshky, 250km (155.34 miles) southwest of Komyshuvakha within the Kherson area.
Brokered by US First Lady Melania Trump, the localised ceasefire was the longest ever noticed and enabled the warring sides to evacuate 800 residents of the besieged city, which is in Russian-occupied Ukrainian territory.
Russian navy reporter Vladimir Romanov was arrested by authorities in his nation after reporting that Oleshky residents who had opted to go to Ukraine had stuffed 17 buses, whereas those that opted to go to Russia stuffed 4.
Moscow has cited the alleged abuse of its Russian-speaking minority in Ukraine as one of many principal causes for its full-scale invasion in 2022, and has claimed that it could be welcomed as a liberating power.
The oil conflict
Ukraine resumed virtually each day focusing on of Russian refineries in the course of the previous week, hitting eight in seven days.
Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak mentioned three refineries had been hit on October 30.
Ukraine hit two extra refineries within the Ufa advanced within the Bashkortostan Republic on October 31. The next day it struck Lukoil’s Nizhegorodnefteorgsintez refinery in Nizhny Novgorod, and a manufacturing and dispatch station within the Samara area the day after that. It hit the Yaroslavl oil refinery on November 3, and the Ryazan oil refinery on November 5.
The strikes had been designed to deprive Russia of power and export income and scupper a deal reached by Russian President Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump on October 9, when the US chief invited Russia to sell 1.8 million tonnes of diesel to the worldwide market by the top of the 12 months to assist deliver down transport costs.
Trump’s invitation flew within the face of US oil sanctions and the Lindsey Graham Act the president had signed into regulation 11 days earlier, which gave him the ability to impose sanctions on different international locations shopping for Russian oil.
The Kremlin has since pumped 4 tankers filled with diesel gas, reported the Monetary Instances (FT), in hopes of promoting it to the US and successfully ending oil sanctions in opposition to it. However these tankers have reportedly failed to search out consumers prepared to threat the authorized penalties of buying Russian oil. The Kremlin dismissed the FT’s report as pretend information.
On October 27, US Senator Richard Blumenthal, who co-authored the Lindsey Graham Act, warned a Greek transport firm working one of many 4 diesel-laden ships to not try to dump its cargo within the US.
“The President might have given a licence to facilitate this transaction, however solely Congress could make it legally legitimate,” Blumenthal had written, successfully warning all shippers they’d face a authorized tangle between statutory regulation and presidential govt orders.
US courts have struck down a lot of Trump’s govt orders in his first two years in workplace.
