All 435 seats within the Home of Representatives are on the poll when voters head to the polls on Nov. 3. However unfold throughout the political map, there are 16 races that ABC Information charges as tossup wherein the outcomes are anticipated to come back right down to the wire and will likely be essential to figuring out the stability of energy within the Home for the a hundred and twentieth Congress.
Democrats should web at the least a three-seat achieve to take management.
Listed here are the races that ABC Information charges as Tossup:
Alabama 2: Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures vs. Republican Rhett Marques
On this newly drawn district, Figures faces Marques, a state consultant, in a aggressive race. The district was redrawn after the Supreme Courtroom allowed Alabama to reinstate a 2023 congressional map {that a} federal courtroom had beforehand blocked. Figures is relying on sturdy turnout amongst Black voters, who make up about 40% of the district’s voting-age inhabitants. President Donald Trump rallied in Cell on Oct. 2 and urged voters to again Marques. Trump would have carried the brand new district by 14 factors in 2024.
Colorado 5: Incumbent Republican Jeff Crank vs. Democrat Jessica Killin
Crank is locked in a good race towards Killin, an Military veteran and former chief of employees for then-second gentleman Doug Emhoff. The district, which incorporates Colorado Springs and practically all of El Paso County, has leaned extra left over the previous three presidential cycles. Nonetheless, Trump received this military-heavy district by about 9 factors in 2024. The Iran battle is a key situation on this race. Crank helps the battle however believes Trump ought to have sought congressional approval.
Rep. Kathy Castor arrives for the Home Vitality and Commerce Subcommittee on Commerce, Manufacturing, and Commerce listening to titled “Legislative Proposals to Strengthen Client Safety in a Altering Market” within the Rayburn Home Workplace Constructing, July 22, 2026.
Invoice Clark/CQ-Roll Name by way of Getty Photos
Florida 14: Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor vs. Republican Mike Beltran
Castor, a 10-term incumbent, is dealing with off towards Trump-endorsed former trial lawyer Beltran. The seat turned extra aggressive after Florida’s legislature redrew this district, placing Castor on the defensive.
Florida 22: Open — Democrat Pia Dandiya vs. Republican Casey Askar
The battle for Florida’s newly drawn district spanning elements of Palm Seaside and Broward counties and town of Naples places two political newcomers within the ring: Marine Corps veteran Askar towards former trainer and U.S. Schooling Division official Dandiya.
Iowa 2: Open — Democrat Lindsey James vs. Republican Joe Mitchell
As incumbent congresswoman Ashley Hinson runs for Senate, this traditionally crimson Home seat within the Hawkeye State is now up for grabs. James, a state consultant and chaplain, is working towards Mitchell, a 29-year-old lobbyist and former state consultant who labored on Trump’s transition workforce. Trump received this district by 10 factors in 2024, however the financial impacts from the Iran battle and tariffs on this agriculture-heavy district have made this race aggressive.
Kentucky 6: Open — Democrat Zach Dembo vs. Republican Ralph Alvarado
GOP Rep. Andy Barr’s bid to fill Mitch McConnell’s long-held Senate seat leaves his Kentucky Home seat open. Dembo, a former federal prosecutor and Navy JAG officer, faces Alvarado, a doctor and former state senator. This district was extra aggressive, however redistricting in 2022 has made it friendlier to Republicans lately – although Barr was a constant Democratic goal since he was elected in 2012.
Rep. Invoice Huizenga speaks throughout a Home Monetary Companies Committee listening to in Washington, D.C., June 4, 2026.
Eric Lee/Bloomberg by way of Getty Photos
Michigan 4: Incumbent Republican Invoice Huizenga vs. Democrat Sean McCann
Huizenga, who has served in Congress since 2011, is being challenged by McCann, a state senator. Huizenga does have incumbency benefit and outperformed Trump substantively in 2024, however his race seems to be tightening as many pollsters anticipate a bitter political setting for the president’s celebration.
Michigan 7: Incumbent Republican Tom Barrett vs. Democrat William Lawrence
First-term congressman and former Military helicopter pilot Barrett, who has repeatedly bucked Trump by voting to restrict his battle powers in Iran, hopes to maintain his seat and defeat progressive candidate Lawrence, a co-founder of the progressive Dawn Motion. Regardless of the cut up, Trump has campaigned in favor of Barrett’s reelection within the aggressive swing district, the place Democrat Elissa Slotkin beat a Republican in 2018 to flip this seat earlier than she in the end received a bid for Senate in 2024.
Michigan 10: Open — Democrat Christina Hines vs. Republican Mike Bouchard
As Rep. John James runs to be Michigan’s subsequent governor, his open seat in Detroit’s northern suburbs is up for grabs. The battle is between Hines, a former prosecutor, and Bouchard, an Military veteran. Trump carried this district by greater than six factors in 2024.
Montana 1: Open — Democrat Sam Forstag vs. Republican Aaron Flint
Rep. Ryan Zinke’s retirement has left this Montana seat open with no incumbency benefit for Republicans. Flint, an Military veteran and conservative radio present host, is working towards Forstag, a union chief and wildland firefighter smokejumper. Trump received this district protecting western Montana by practically 12 factors in 2024.
New York 17: Incumbent Republican Mike Lawler vs. Democrat Cait Conley
Lawler is considered one of two Republicans working for reelection in Kamala Harris-won districts this cycle — six others opted towards one other time period within the Home. Lawler has stored this seat in a blue state since 2022, outperforming Trump in 2024 by 2.8%. Lawler, who secured State and Native Tax (SALT) deductions in the course of the Trump tax invoice negotiations, is working towards Conley, an Military fight veteran.
Ohio 7: Incumbent Republican Max Miller vs. Democrat Brian Poindexter
Miller’s reelection bid has been hampered by allegations of home assault towards his ex-wife Emily Moreno, the daughter of Ohio Republican Sen. Bernie Moreno. Miller, a former Trump aide, has flatly denied wrongdoing and has not been charged with any crimes and refused to drop out of the race regardless of widespread calls from Republicans. Trump stopped wanting calling on Miller to withdraw final summer season, calling the scenario “unhappy.” He’s being challenged by Poindexter, a union organizer and ironworker.
Rep. Rob Bresnahan speaks at DCS Contracting in Hazleton, Pa., Oct. 6, 2026.
Aimee Dilger/SOPA Photos/LightRocket by way of Getty Photos
Pennsylvania 1: Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick vs. Democrat Bob Harvie
5-term incumbent Fitzpatrick, a former FBI agent, is the opposite Republican working for re-election in a district that Harris received in 2024. Fitzpatrick has repeatedly damaged with the president on coverage points and was considered one of two Home Republicans who voted towards his mega tax and coverage invoice. He has established himself as a reasonable within the Home, serving to enhance his electoral efficiency within the aggressive district, which incorporates Bucks County and Montgomery County. Harvie, has served as a Bucks County commissioner since 2020.
Texas 15: Democrat Bobby Pulido vs. incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz
De La Cruz, who was first elected in 2022, is in search of to maintain her seat in a South Texas district that’s practically 80% Latino. Redistricting expanded the fifteenth into Hidalgo County and shifted a few of her GOP voters into neighboring districts. Pulido, a Latin Grammy-winning Tejano singer, is difficult De La Cruz in a race that would take a look at Trump’s standing with Latino voters.
Texas 35: Open — Democrat Johnny Garcia vs. Republican Carlos De La Cruz
This East San Antonio seat, beforehand held by Democratic Rep. Greg Casar, is open after the chair of the Congressional Progressive Caucus modified districts due to redistricting initiated by the Republican-controlled legislature. Garcia, a deputy sheriff, hopes to maintain the district blue and is working towards Trump-endorsed De La Cruz, an Air Drive veteran and brother of Rep. Monica De La Cruz.
Virginia 1: Incumbent Republican Rob Wittman vs. Democrat Shannon Taylor
In North Virginia and the Center Peninsula, 10-term Republican Wittman is battling to maintain his seat towards Taylor, Henrico County’s prime prosecutor. It’s one of some districts throughout the nation the place Kamala Harris in 2024 outperformed Joe Biden in 2020, suggesting the district is trending left.
